Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +14.5% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 56.4% vs Lewis 45.0% (+14.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 73.2%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 92.0%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 74.4%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 78.2%
78.2%
21.8%
O'Reilly
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
O'Reilly
Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
O'Reilly
Lewis
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
0
O'Reilly
Lewis
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
0
O'Reilly
Lewis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (1,064)
42.5% (127)
+14.1%
Power Play
60.4% (260)
66.7% (6)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
54.0% (261)
38.8% (49)
+15.2%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (582).
O'Reilly shoots left. Lewis is 39.2% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Lewis
Home
54.9% (801)
47.4% (95)
Away
58.7% (784)
36.8% (87)
By Period
O'Reilly
Lewis
P1
58.0%
36.4%
P2
56.7%
45.8%
P3
55.4%
43.6%
Final 5 min
56.4%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2022 | 2 | 15:14 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 2 | 05:03 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 1 | 10:19 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 3 | 10:50 | Offensive | Trevor Lewis |