Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 55.3% vs Lewis 47.7% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 59.2%
Defensive zone
Lewis 56.8%
Neutral zone
Lewis 56.5%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
O'Reilly
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
O'Reilly
Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
0
O'Reilly
Lewis
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lewis
0
1
O'Reilly
Lewis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (983)
46.0% (189)
+10.2%
Power Play
55.5% (254)
100.0% (2)
-44.5%
Penalty Kill
52.0% (102)
42.9% (7)
+9.1%
On power play, Lewis has a +44.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (491).
O'Reilly shoots left. Lewis is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (132).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Lewis
Home
56.2% (697)
43.3% (90)
Away
55.1% (642)
49.1% (108)
By Period
O'Reilly
Lewis
P1
54.5%
46.9%
P2
55.5%
46.3%
P3
57.1%
46.3%
Final 5 min
56.2%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2024 | 3 | 18:55 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 4, 2024 | 1 | 11:13 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |