Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 55.2% vs Lewis 44.3% (+13.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 75.1%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 89.2%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 76.2%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 89.2%
89.2%
10.8%
O'Reilly
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
O'Reilly
Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
0
O'Reilly
Lewis
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (690)
41.8% (251)
+14.3%
Power Play
64.6% (96)
45.5% (11)
+19.1%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (109)
44.7% (47)
+1.2%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. O'Reilly is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (292).
O'Reilly shoots left. Lewis is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (207).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Lewis
Home
58.3% (408)
39.2% (166)
Away
53.6% (487)
46.2% (143)
By Period
O'Reilly
Lewis
P1
57.7%
45.2%
P2
54.8%
43.8%
P3
55.2%
37.8%
OT
45.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.5%
39.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 02:59 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 10:31 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |