Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 51.6% vs Lewis 41.4% (+12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 81.6%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 96.2%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 93.7%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 89.8%
89.8%
10.2%
O'Reilly
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
O'Reilly
Lewis
Last 8: O'Reilly 7-1 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
1
O'Reilly
Lewis
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
0
O'Reilly
Lewis
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
0
O'Reilly
Lewis
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (770)
39.6% (351)
+13.8%
Power Play
55.6% (54)
60.0% (5)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (196)
33.3% (27)
+11.1%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. O'Reilly is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (302).
O'Reilly shoots left. Lewis is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (269).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Lewis
Home
53.5% (533)
38.2% (178)
Away
50.0% (492)
40.1% (207)
By Period
O'Reilly
Lewis
P1
50.8%
39.9%
P2
52.4%
40.1%
P3
51.6%
36.9%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
51.8%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
39.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2011 | 2 | 14:59 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 1 | 11:49 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 21, 2010 | 3 | 18:30 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 21, 2010 | 2 | 12:12 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 21, 2010 | 2 | 07:14 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 21, 2010 | 1 | 17:27 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 21, 2010 | 1 | 17:23 | Offensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Dec 21, 2010 | 1 | 14:05 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |