Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 56.4% vs Johnson 53.6% (-4.0%)
Offensive zone
Johnson 64.0%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 64.5%
Neutral zone
Johnson 54.5%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
O'Reilly
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (1,064)
61.9% (42)
-5.3%
Power Play
60.4% (260)
55.6% (9)
+4.8%
On even strength, Johnson has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (582).
O'Reilly shoots left. Johnson is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (34).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Johnson
Home
54.9% (801)
52.0% (25)
Away
58.7% (784)
69.2% (26)
By Period
O'Reilly
Johnson
P1
58.0%
72.0%
P2
56.7%
66.7%
P3
55.4%
27.3%
Final 5 min
56.4%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
60.8%