Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 55.3% vs Johnson 51.4% (-7.9%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 57.7%
Defensive zone
Johnson 54.5%
Neutral zone
Johnson 52.1%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
O'Reilly
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (983)
63.6% (11)
-7.4%
On even strength, Johnson has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (491).
O'Reilly shoots left. Johnson is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (9).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Johnson
Home
56.2% (697)
62.5% (8)
Away
55.1% (642)
66.7% (3)
By Period
O'Reilly
Johnson
P2
55.5%
85.7%
P3
57.1%
25.0%
Final 5 min
56.2%
100.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
63.6%