Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 53.7% vs Jost 45.0% (+11.3%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 60.8%
Defensive zone
Jost 61.5%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 54.1%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
O'Reilly
Jost
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (1,084)
43.3% (194)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (149)
25.0% (8)
+15.3%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. O'Reilly is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (981).
O'Reilly shoots left. Jost is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (129).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Jost
Home
54.8% (759)
39.7% (78)
Away
53.0% (777)
44.4% (124)
By Period
O'Reilly
Jost
P1
55.3%
40.5%
P2
51.9%
43.2%
P3
54.2%
44.9%
Final 5 min
56.3%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
42.6%