Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +15.8% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 54.9% vs Jost 45.0% (+15.8%)
Offensive zone
Jost 50.5%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 57.2%
Neutral zone
Jost 51.5%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
O'Reilly
Jost
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (826)
39.3% (84)
+16.1%
Power Play
57.9% (221)
0.0% (1)
+57.9%
Penalty Kill
50.4% (129)
50.0% (6)
+0.4%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +57.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (662).
O'Reilly shoots left. Jost is 34.5% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Jost
Home
55.8% (579)
38.5% (52)
Away
54.9% (597)
41.0% (39)
By Period
O'Reilly
Jost
P1
57.7%
40.6%
P2
54.8%
38.9%
P3
54.3%
39.1%
Final 5 min
55.5%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
39.6%