Ryan O'Reilly vs William Karlsson
2020-21 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 23 meetings). O'Reilly wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 58.1% vs Karlsson 53.6% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 40-19 in 59 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 79.4%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 82.1%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 77.9%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 79.8%
79.8%
20.2%
O'Reilly
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
40
-
19
(59 meetings)
40
19
O'Reilly
Karlsson
Last 10: O'Reilly 6-4 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
18
5
O'Reilly
Karlsson
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
12
6
O'Reilly
Karlsson
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
10
8
O'Reilly
Karlsson
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (841)
55.5% (659)
+3.1%
Power Play
59.9% (207)
59.3% (172)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
58.1% (148)
39.1% (128)
+19.0%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (865).
O'Reilly shoots left. Karlsson is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (671).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Karlsson
Home
59.8% (594)
53.9% (488)
Away
57.8% (602)
54.1% (471)
By Period
O'Reilly
Karlsson
P1
61.7%
50.5%
P2
56.2%
54.8%
P3
59.5%
56.3%
OT
50.0%
53.3%
Final 5 min
59.5%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
58.8%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 18:59 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 18:43 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 18:22 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 14:45 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 07:35 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 02:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 19:54 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 12:55 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 10:23 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| May 7, 2021 | 3 | 19:35 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| May 7, 2021 | 3 | 08:02 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| May 7, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| May 7, 2021 | 2 | 14:34 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| May 7, 2021 | 2 | 11:20 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| May 7, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| May 7, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 3 | 07:42 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 2 | 06:50 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 1 | 11:34 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |