Ryan O'Reilly vs William Karlsson
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 57.3% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 55.3% vs Karlsson 57.1% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 54.3%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 54.7%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 52.1%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
O'Reilly
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
O'Reilly
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
2
O'Reilly
Karlsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
0
O'Reilly
Karlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
O'Reilly
Karlsson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (983)
58.6% (597)
-2.4%
Power Play
55.5% (254)
57.9% (57)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
52.0% (102)
51.9% (52)
+0.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. O'Reilly is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (848).
O'Reilly shoots left. Karlsson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Karlsson
Home
56.2% (697)
59.6% (344)
Away
55.1% (642)
56.6% (362)
By Period
O'Reilly
Karlsson
P1
54.5%
53.1%
P2
55.5%
62.1%
P3
57.1%
60.1%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.2%
61.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 04:50 | Offensive | William Karlsson |