Ryan O'Reilly vs William Karlsson
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (58% H2H, 12 meetings). O'Reilly wins 58.8% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 56.4% vs Karlsson 51.5% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 13-8 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 63.8%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 75.7%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 72.9%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 68.2%
68.2%
31.8%
O'Reilly
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
8
(21 meetings)
13
8
O'Reilly
Karlsson
Last 10: O'Reilly 6-4 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
7
5
O'Reilly
Karlsson
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
1
O'Reilly
Karlsson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
2
O'Reilly
Karlsson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (1,064)
51.4% (735)
+5.2%
Power Play
60.4% (260)
63.5% (115)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
54.0% (261)
42.9% (133)
+11.1%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. O'Reilly is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
O'Reilly shoots left. Karlsson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Karlsson
Home
54.9% (801)
52.3% (524)
Away
58.7% (784)
51.0% (459)
By Period
O'Reilly
Karlsson
P1
58.0%
50.7%
P2
56.7%
51.4%
P3
55.4%
53.2%
OT
64.7%
41.2%
Final 5 min
56.4%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 13:13 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 18:10 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 18:07 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 14:34 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 04:40 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 04:34 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 20, 2021 | 3 | 17:51 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 20, 2021 | 3 | 17:46 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 20, 2021 | 3 | 04:29 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 20, 2021 | 3 | 04:21 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 20, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 20, 2021 | 2 | 12:38 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 20, 2021 | 2 | 05:41 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 20, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Oct 20, 2021 | 1 | 19:58 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 20, 2021 | 1 | 18:42 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 20, 2021 | 1 | 07:55 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 20, 2021 | 1 | 02:54 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 20, 2021 | 1 | 02:46 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 20, 2021 | 1 | 00:16 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |