Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 55.2% vs Johnston 44.8% (+12.5%)
Offensive zone
Johnston 54.1%
Defensive zone
Johnston 55.4%
Neutral zone
Johnston 58.1%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
O'Reilly
Johnston
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (690)
42.5% (318)
+13.6%
Power Play
64.6% (96)
55.6% (9)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (109)
62.5% (8)
-16.6%
On penalty kill, Johnston has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. O'Reilly is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (292).
O'Reilly shoots left. Johnston is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (229).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Johnston
Home
58.3% (408)
40.5% (168)
Away
53.6% (487)
46.1% (167)
By Period
O'Reilly
Johnston
P1
57.7%
46.9%
P2
54.8%
40.4%
P3
55.2%
41.9%
OT
45.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
43.3%