Ryan O'Reilly vs Wyatt Johnston
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (87% H2H, 15 meetings). O'Reilly wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 56.0% vs Johnston 49.1% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 36-23 in 59 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 93.6%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 82.4%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 87.5%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 86.7%
86.7%
13.3%
O'Reilly
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
36
-
23
(59 meetings)
36
23
O'Reilly
Johnston
Last 10: O'Reilly 10-0 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
13
2
O'Reilly
Johnston
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
12
15
O'Reilly
Johnston
27 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
11
6
O'Reilly
Johnston
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (15,260)
49.3% (2,189)
+6.9%
Power Play
58.8% (3,445)
52.6% (173)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (2,811)
44.7% (237)
+6.7%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (7,689).
O'Reilly shoots left. Johnston is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,967).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Johnston
Home
57.6% (10,762)
49.2% (1,319)
Away
54.4% (10,787)
49.0% (1,280)
By Period
O'Reilly
Johnston
P1
55.6%
50.1%
P2
57.0%
48.3%
P3
55.1%
48.8%
OT
62.2%
51.6%
Final 5 min
55.3%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 00:22 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 19:40 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 19:23 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 16:55 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 19:56 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 19:47 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 19:45 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 07:09 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 00:13 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 16:23 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 10:20 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 06:44 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 05:11 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 14:00 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 04:43 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 17:41 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 13:19 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |