Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +22.5% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 58.8% vs left-shot opponents — Trenin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 56.4% vs Trenin 45.9% (+22.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trenin 69.0%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 63.3%
Neutral zone
Trenin 58.9%
Result
Yakov Trenin favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
O'Reilly
Trenin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
O'Reilly
Trenin
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trenin
0
1
O'Reilly
Trenin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Trenin
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (1,064)
35.3% (34)
+21.3%
Penalty Kill
54.0% (261)
0.0% (1)
+54.0%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +54.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trenin shoots left. O'Reilly is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
O'Reilly shoots left. Trenin is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (29).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Trenin
Home
54.9% (801)
29.4% (17)
Away
58.7% (784)
38.9% (18)
By Period
O'Reilly
Trenin
P1
58.0%
44.4%
P2
56.7%
35.3%
P3
55.4%
22.2%
Final 5 min
56.4%
25.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Trenin
42.0%▲
40.5%
34.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2022 | 2 | 12:17 | Neutral | Yakov Trenin |