Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 57.3% vs left-shot opponents — Trenin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 55.3% vs Trenin 48.0% (+11.9%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 57.2%
Defensive zone
Trenin 50.3%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 50.3%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
O'Reilly
Trenin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Trenin
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (983)
48.8% (41)
+7.4%
Power Play
55.5% (254)
0.0% (1)
+55.5%
Penalty Kill
52.0% (102)
16.7% (6)
+35.3%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +55.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trenin shoots left. O'Reilly is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (848).
O'Reilly shoots left. Trenin is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (31).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Trenin
Home
56.2% (697)
53.8% (26)
Away
55.1% (642)
31.8% (22)
By Period
O'Reilly
Trenin
P1
54.5%
42.3%
P2
55.5%
50.0%
P3
57.1%
40.0%
Final 5 min
56.2%
25.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Trenin
42.0%▲
40.5%
43.8%