Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +16.9% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 55.4% vs left-shot opponents — Trenin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 55.2% vs Trenin 47.1% (+16.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 66.7%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 78.8%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 66.9%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 78.8%
78.8%
21.2%
O'Reilly
Trenin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
O'Reilly
Trenin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
0
O'Reilly
Trenin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Trenin
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (690)
35.5% (31)
+20.6%
Power Play
64.6% (96)
50.0% (2)
+14.6%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (109)
66.7% (3)
-20.8%
On penalty kill, Trenin has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trenin shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (603).
O'Reilly shoots left. Trenin is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (26).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Trenin
Home
58.3% (408)
40.0% (15)
Away
53.6% (487)
38.1% (21)
By Period
O'Reilly
Trenin
P1
57.7%
26.3%
P2
54.8%
50.0%
P3
55.2%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.5%
27.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%
Trenin
42.0%▲
40.5%
38.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 10:53 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |