Who wins more faceoffs, Nathan MacKinnon or Ryan Poehling?

Ryan Poehling leads the head-to-head 7-1 across 8 faceoffs.

What is Nathan MacKinnon's faceoff record against Ryan Poehling?

Nathan MacKinnon is 1-7 against Ryan Poehling in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 1-1, Defensive 0-3, Neutral 0-3.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Nathan MacKinnon or Ryan Poehling?

Nathan MacKinnon is the predicted winner with a 64.0% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Nathan MacKinnon vs Ryan Poehling

Nathan MacKinnonR vs Ryan PoehlingL

2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.4% vs 45.3%). Look for Poehling on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). MacKinnon wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) MacKinnon 44.9% vs Poehling 46.2% (-0.9%)

H2H factor Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)

Offensive zone MacKinnon 86.8%

Defensive zone MacKinnon 50.4%

Neutral zone MacKinnon 62.6%

Result Nathan MacKinnon favored at 64.0%

64.0%

36.0%

MacKinnon Poehling

Head-to-Head Record

1 - 7 (8 meetings)

MacKinnon Poehling

Last 8: MacKinnon 1-7 Poehling

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Even

MacKinnon Poehling

2 total

Defensive Zone

Edge: Poehling

MacKinnon Poehling

3 total

Neutral Zone

Edge: Poehling

MacKinnon Poehling

3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

MacKinnon

Poehling

Edge

Even Strength

44.7% (1,053)

46.5% (269)

-1.8%

Power Play

36.8% (95)

66.7% (3)

-29.9%

Penalty Kill

65.0% (20)

42.4% (139)

+22.6%

On power play, Poehling has a +29.9% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

Poehling shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).

MacKinnon shoots right. Poehling is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (145).

Home / Away

MacKinnon

Poehling

Home

49.4% (553)

45.2% (177)

Away

40.0% (615)

45.3% (234)

By Period

MacKinnon

Poehling

45.3%

47.7%

42.7%

44.4%

45.1%

44.6%

46.2%

33.3%

Final 5 min

49.8%

42.6%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

MacKinnon

48.0%▼

54.0%

44.4%

Poehling

58.0%▲

48.5%

45.3%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Mar 22, 2023	3	12:51	Neutral	Ryan Poehling
Mar 22, 2023	3	03:41	Offensive	Ryan Poehling
Mar 22, 2023	2	14:12	Neutral	Ryan Poehling
Mar 22, 2023	2	11:35	Neutral	Ryan Poehling
Mar 22, 2023	1	14:51	Defensive	Ryan Poehling
Mar 22, 2023	1	08:43	Defensive	Ryan Poehling
Feb 7, 2023	1	04:38	Defensive	Ryan Poehling
Feb 7, 2023	1	04:21	Offensive	Nathan MacKinnon

MacKinnon's Profile | Poehling's Profile