Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poehling 47.0% vs Kuraly 49.5% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Poehling 82.1%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 60.6%
Neutral zone
Poehling 64.5%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Poehling
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Poehling
Kuraly
Last 10: Poehling 3-7 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
3
Poehling
Kuraly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
3
Poehling
Kuraly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
2
Poehling
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poehling
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (437)
52.3% (982)
-7.2%
Power Play
56.4% (39)
41.9% (43)
+14.5%
Penalty Kill
61.5% (13)
39.2% (245)
+22.3%
On penalty kill, Poehling has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Poehling is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Poehling shoots left. Kuraly is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (859).
Home / Away
Poehling
Kuraly
Home
46.6% (232)
50.3% (680)
Away
46.3% (257)
48.5% (590)
By Period
Poehling
Kuraly
P1
43.9%
49.5%
P2
49.1%
49.6%
P3
46.4%
49.0%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
43.1%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
46.4%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2022 | 3 | 14:35 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 3 | 10:06 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 2 | 13:52 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 2 | 05:28 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 1 | 16:49 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 1 | 03:00 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 3 | 01:44 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 1 | 15:59 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 1 | 12:49 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 1 | 09:54 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 1 | 03:51 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |