Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Poehling wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poehling 46.2% vs Kuraly 49.7% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuraly 54.7%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 65.9%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 63.5%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
Poehling
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Poehling
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
0
Poehling
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Poehling
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
0
Poehling
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poehling
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (269)
49.2% (901)
-2.7%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
68.2% (22)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (139)
49.8% (219)
-7.4%
On penalty kill, Kuraly has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Poehling is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Poehling shoots left. Kuraly is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Poehling
Kuraly
Home
45.2% (177)
51.7% (603)
Away
45.3% (234)
47.3% (539)
By Period
Poehling
Kuraly
P1
47.7%
50.9%
P2
44.4%
49.5%
P3
44.6%
49.1%
OT
33.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
42.6%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
45.3%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 05:54 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 14:51 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 18:30 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |