Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Poehling on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poehling 49.2% vs Kuraly 48.4% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poehling 63.0%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 59.2%
Neutral zone
Poehling 53.9%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Poehling
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Poehling
Kuraly
Last 7: Poehling 4-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Poehling
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
4
2
Poehling
Kuraly
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poehling
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (752)
49.4% (445)
+1.0%
Power Play
37.0% (27)
100.0% (3)
-63.0%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (159)
41.9% (117)
+3.4%
On power play, Kuraly has a +63.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Poehling is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Poehling shoots left. Kuraly is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Poehling
Kuraly
Home
51.2% (467)
49.2% (248)
Away
47.1% (471)
47.3% (317)
By Period
Poehling
Kuraly
P1
54.6%
48.3%
P2
46.7%
44.7%
P3
46.7%
51.7%
Final 5 min
47.0%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
49.1%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2023 | 3 | 09:55 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 2 | 14:11 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 1 | 13:26 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 1 | 08:24 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |