Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Poehling wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poehling 47.4% vs Kuraly 50.1% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poehling 60.5%
Defensive zone
Poehling 62.4%
Neutral zone
Poehling 61.5%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Poehling
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Poehling
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Poehling
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Poehling
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poehling
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (626)
51.8% (444)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (207)
45.3% (150)
-7.1%
On penalty kill, Kuraly has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Poehling is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Poehling shoots left. Kuraly is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (368).
Home / Away
Poehling
Kuraly
Home
47.3% (404)
54.6% (304)
Away
46.9% (441)
45.5% (290)
By Period
Poehling
Kuraly
P1
53.5%
55.2%
P2
39.4%
45.7%
P3
49.1%
49.5%
OT
35.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
47.1%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 02:40 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 02:10 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |