Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Poehling wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poehling 46.2% vs Monahan 53.9% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 66.4%
Defensive zone
Poehling 85.2%
Neutral zone
Poehling 59.6%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Poehling
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Poehling
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
3
Poehling
Monahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
0
Poehling
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poehling
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (269)
54.5% (231)
-8.0%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
58.2% (67)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (139)
52.2% (23)
-9.8%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Poehling is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Poehling shoots left. Monahan is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Home / Away
Poehling
Monahan
Home
45.2% (177)
53.5% (144)
Away
45.3% (234)
56.5% (177)
By Period
Poehling
Monahan
P1
47.7%
52.5%
P2
44.4%
50.9%
P3
44.6%
60.8%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
42.6%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
45.3%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 13:42 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 07:18 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 17, 2022 | OT | 01:46 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 2 | 19:00 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |