Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poehling 49.2% vs Monahan 54.5% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 51.8%
Defensive zone
Poehling 75.5%
Neutral zone
Poehling 63.0%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Poehling
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Poehling
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
3
Poehling
Monahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
0
Poehling
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poehling
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (752)
57.1% (871)
-6.7%
Power Play
37.0% (27)
53.1% (262)
-16.1%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (159)
44.6% (139)
+0.7%
On power play, Monahan has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Poehling is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Poehling shoots left. Monahan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Home / Away
Poehling
Monahan
Home
51.2% (467)
55.3% (644)
Away
47.1% (471)
54.5% (628)
By Period
Poehling
Monahan
P1
54.6%
53.9%
P2
46.7%
55.3%
P3
46.7%
54.4%
OT
42.9%
76.5%
Final 5 min
47.0%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
49.1%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 02:07 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 17:30 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 02:22 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 00:39 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |