Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poehling 50.8% vs Monahan 52.4% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 62.4%
Defensive zone
Poehling 80.2%
Neutral zone
Poehling 53.8%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Poehling
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Poehling
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
6
Poehling
Monahan
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
0
Poehling
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poehling
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (622)
52.4% (853)
+0.2%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
58.6% (174)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (103)
46.5% (144)
-6.7%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Poehling is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (505).
Poehling shoots left. Monahan is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Home / Away
Poehling
Monahan
Home
53.2% (393)
53.4% (624)
Away
48.3% (344)
51.7% (547)
By Period
Poehling
Monahan
P1
50.9%
53.7%
P2
56.2%
52.4%
P3
46.1%
51.6%
OT
33.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
51.6%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.9%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 04:42 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 03:26 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 15:37 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 07:23 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |