Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Poehling wins 44.8% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poehling 46.9% vs Novak 44.9% (+3.7%)
Offensive zone
Novak 81.9%
Defensive zone
Poehling 75.9%
Neutral zone
Poehling 56.5%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Poehling
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poehling
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (440)
41.7% (206)
+6.7%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
52.6% (19)
-2.6%
On even strength, Poehling has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Poehling is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (393).
Poehling shoots left. Novak is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Poehling
Novak
Home
48.2% (222)
44.9% (118)
Away
45.2% (356)
40.2% (107)
By Period
Poehling
Novak
P1
54.1%
41.5%
P2
40.5%
44.0%
P3
44.9%
42.0%
Final 5 min
51.0%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poehling
58.0%▲
46.5%
46.4%
Novak
44.0%▬
43.0%
42.7%