Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poehling 50.8% vs Novak 45.0% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 74.2%
Defensive zone
Poehling 82.0%
Neutral zone
Novak 50.7%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Poehling
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Poehling
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Novak
0
2
Poehling
Novak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
2
0
Poehling
Novak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poehling
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (622)
42.9% (198)
+9.7%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
40.9% (22)
+17.4%
On power play, Poehling has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Poehling is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (505).
Poehling shoots left. Novak is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Poehling
Novak
Home
53.2% (393)
40.9% (110)
Away
48.3% (344)
44.5% (110)
By Period
Poehling
Novak
P1
50.9%
39.1%
P2
56.2%
43.9%
P3
46.1%
44.9%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
25.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.9%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 09:26 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 09:21 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 01:51 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 18:13 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |