Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poehling 49.2% vs Novak 43.5% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 75.0%
Defensive zone
Poehling 76.1%
Neutral zone
Novak 50.2%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Poehling
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Poehling
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Novak
0
2
Poehling
Novak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
0
Poehling
Novak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
0
Poehling
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poehling
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (752)
40.7% (460)
+9.7%
Power Play
37.0% (27)
61.5% (39)
-24.5%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (159)
0.0% (1)
+45.3%
On penalty kill, Poehling has a +45.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Poehling is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Poehling shoots left. Novak is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Poehling
Novak
Home
51.2% (467)
47.0% (236)
Away
47.1% (471)
37.9% (264)
By Period
Poehling
Novak
P1
54.6%
43.1%
P2
46.7%
43.1%
P3
46.7%
40.1%
Final 5 min
47.0%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
49.1%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 07:51 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 11:47 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 06:57 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 12:03 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |