Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Poehling wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poehling 47.4% vs Novak 43.4% (+5.3%)
Offensive zone
Novak 84.1%
Defensive zone
Poehling 81.0%
Neutral zone
Poehling 55.7%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Poehling
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poehling
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (626)
41.4% (379)
+8.4%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
46.9% (32)
+11.4%
On power play, Poehling has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Poehling is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Poehling shoots left. Novak is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Poehling
Novak
Home
47.3% (404)
42.6% (195)
Away
46.9% (441)
41.2% (216)
By Period
Poehling
Novak
P1
53.5%
42.4%
P2
39.4%
39.2%
P3
49.1%
44.7%
OT
35.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.8%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
47.1%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
41.8%