Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poehling 49.2% vs Zegras 43.3% (+10.7%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 66.2%
Defensive zone
Poehling 78.7%
Neutral zone
Poehling 52.2%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Poehling
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poehling
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (752)
39.8% (128)
+10.6%
Power Play
37.0% (27)
22.2% (9)
+14.8%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (159)
0.0% (1)
+45.3%
On penalty kill, Poehling has a +45.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Poehling is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Poehling shoots left. Zegras is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (102).
Home / Away
Poehling
Zegras
Home
51.2% (467)
29.7% (74)
Away
47.1% (471)
48.4% (64)
By Period
Poehling
Zegras
P1
54.6%
40.7%
P2
46.7%
35.1%
P3
46.7%
41.0%
OT
42.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.0%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
49.1%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
38.4%