Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poehling 50.8% vs Zegras 41.3% (+14.3%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 67.7%
Defensive zone
Poehling 81.2%
Neutral zone
Poehling 51.0%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Poehling
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poehling
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (622)
36.5% (156)
+16.1%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
40.7% (27)
+17.6%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (103)
0.0% (3)
+39.8%
On penalty kill, Poehling has a +39.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Poehling is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (505).
Poehling shoots left. Zegras is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Home / Away
Poehling
Zegras
Home
53.2% (393)
38.9% (113)
Away
48.3% (344)
32.9% (73)
By Period
Poehling
Zegras
P1
50.9%
40.0%
P2
56.2%
38.1%
P3
46.1%
31.6%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.9%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
36.6%