Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Poehling on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poehling 48.1% vs Zegras 39.2% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poehling 71.1%
Defensive zone
Poehling 98.8%
Neutral zone
Poehling 94.8%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 96.3%
96.3%
3.7%
Poehling
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
0
(8 meetings)
8
0
Poehling
Zegras
Last 8: Poehling 8-0 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
3
0
Poehling
Zegras
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
5
0
Poehling
Zegras
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poehling
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (2,726)
38.6% (1,669)
+10.8%
Power Play
51.6% (93)
38.5% (148)
+13.1%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (623)
28.6% (7)
+13.0%
On power play, Poehling has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Poehling is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,301).
Poehling shoots left. Zegras is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,228).
Home / Away
Poehling
Zegras
Home
49.3% (1,688)
39.9% (882)
Away
46.9% (1,754)
37.4% (942)
By Period
Poehling
Zegras
P1
50.9%
40.2%
P2
47.0%
38.0%
P3
46.9%
37.7%
OT
37.9%
31.6%
Final 5 min
47.8%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
38.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 06:16 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 10:52 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 02:51 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 02:42 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 08:09 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 2 | 14:04 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |