Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall. Poehling wins 44.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poehling 47.0% vs Johnson 53.6% (-14.4%)
Offensive zone
Johnson 57.2%
Defensive zone
Poehling 61.2%
Neutral zone
Johnson 50.1%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Poehling
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poehling
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (437)
61.9% (42)
-16.8%
Power Play
56.4% (39)
55.6% (9)
+0.8%
On even strength, Johnson has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Poehling is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Poehling shoots left. Johnson is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (34).
Home / Away
Poehling
Johnson
Home
46.6% (232)
52.0% (25)
Away
46.3% (257)
69.2% (26)
By Period
Poehling
Johnson
P1
43.9%
72.0%
P2
49.1%
66.7%
P3
46.4%
27.3%
Final 5 min
43.1%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
46.4%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
60.8%