Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Poehling wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poehling 50.8% vs Johnson 51.4% (-12.7%)
Offensive zone
Johnson 65.4%
Defensive zone
Poehling 73.9%
Neutral zone
Poehling 52.6%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Poehling
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poehling
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (622)
63.6% (11)
-11.0%
On even strength, Johnson has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Poehling is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Poehling shoots left. Johnson is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (9).
Home / Away
Poehling
Johnson
Home
53.2% (393)
62.5% (8)
Away
48.3% (344)
66.7% (3)
By Period
Poehling
Johnson
P2
56.2%
85.7%
P3
46.1%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
100.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.9%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
63.6%