Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poehling 49.2% vs Johnson 45.7% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 65.9%
Defensive zone
Poehling 67.4%
Neutral zone
Poehling 50.4%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Poehling
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Poehling
Johnson
Last 6: Poehling 3-3 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
3
Poehling
Johnson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
0
Poehling
Johnson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
0
Poehling
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poehling
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (752)
44.6% (285)
+5.8%
Power Play
37.0% (27)
46.7% (60)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (159)
16.7% (6)
+28.6%
On penalty kill, Poehling has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Poehling is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (283).
Poehling shoots left. Johnson is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (273).
Home / Away
Poehling
Johnson
Home
51.2% (467)
50.8% (179)
Away
47.1% (471)
37.8% (172)
By Period
Poehling
Johnson
P1
54.6%
41.3%
P2
46.7%
41.8%
P3
46.7%
49.6%
OT
42.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.0%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
49.1%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2024 | 3 | 18:20 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 3 | 06:20 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 3 | 00:28 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 2 | 11:27 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 1 | 18:10 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 1 | 07:35 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |