Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poehling 48.1% vs Johnson 49.7% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 73.5%
Defensive zone
Poehling 69.9%
Neutral zone
Poehling 51.9%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 62.0%
38.0%
62.0%
Poehling
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Poehling
Johnson
Last 6: Poehling 3-3 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
3
Poehling
Johnson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
0
Poehling
Johnson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
0
Poehling
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poehling
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (2,726)
49.8% (5,396)
-0.4%
Power Play
51.6% (93)
54.6% (885)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (623)
42.3% (707)
-0.7%
On power play, Johnson has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Poehling is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,141).
Poehling shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,785).
Home / Away
Poehling
Johnson
Home
49.3% (1,688)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
46.9% (1,754)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Poehling
Johnson
P1
50.9%
50.1%
P2
47.0%
50.6%
P3
46.9%
48.4%
OT
37.9%
42.5%
Final 5 min
47.8%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2024 | 3 | 18:20 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 3 | 06:20 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 3 | 00:28 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 2 | 11:27 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 1 | 18:10 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 1 | 07:35 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |