Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Poehling wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poehling 47.4% vs Gourde 46.0% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 52.9%
Defensive zone
Poehling 65.1%
Neutral zone
Poehling 56.5%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 65.1%
65.1%
34.9%
Poehling
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Poehling
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
0
Poehling
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poehling
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (626)
47.2% (654)
+2.6%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
45.0% (20)
+13.3%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (207)
32.2% (87)
+6.0%
On power play, Poehling has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Poehling is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Poehling shoots left. Gourde is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (501).
Home / Away
Poehling
Gourde
Home
47.3% (404)
44.1% (322)
Away
46.9% (441)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Poehling
Gourde
P1
53.5%
42.4%
P2
39.4%
49.8%
P3
49.1%
44.3%
OT
35.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
47.1%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 15:05 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |