Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Poehling on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Poehling wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poehling 46.2% vs Gourde 49.7% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 83.9%
Defensive zone
Poehling 59.4%
Neutral zone
Gourde 65.2%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Poehling
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Poehling
Gourde
Last 5: Poehling 4-1 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
3
0
Poehling
Gourde
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Poehling
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poehling
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (269)
49.1% (847)
-2.6%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
79.5% (44)
-12.8%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (139)
39.5% (81)
+2.9%
On power play, Gourde has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Poehling is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Poehling shoots left. Gourde is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Poehling
Gourde
Home
45.2% (177)
50.1% (491)
Away
45.3% (234)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Poehling
Gourde
P1
47.7%
54.7%
P2
44.4%
45.0%
P3
44.6%
49.4%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.6%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
45.3%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 01:23 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 19:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 11:20 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 08:16 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 18:57 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |