Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poehling 49.2% vs Gourde 48.0% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 58.5%
Defensive zone
Poehling 50.3%
Neutral zone
Gourde 50.7%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Poehling
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Poehling
Gourde
Last 7: Poehling 3-4 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
0
Poehling
Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
4
Poehling
Gourde
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
2
0
Poehling
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poehling
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (752)
48.0% (914)
+2.4%
Power Play
37.0% (27)
54.2% (48)
-17.2%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (159)
43.9% (123)
+1.4%
On power play, Gourde has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Poehling is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Poehling shoots left. Gourde is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Poehling
Gourde
Home
51.2% (467)
50.2% (512)
Away
47.1% (471)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Poehling
Gourde
P1
54.6%
50.0%
P2
46.7%
45.3%
P3
46.7%
48.6%
OT
42.9%
20.0%
Final 5 min
47.0%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
49.1%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 17:42 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 15:15 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 00:36 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 13:58 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 3 | 03:46 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 10:29 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 03:58 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |