Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poehling 50.8% vs Gourde 49.7% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Gourde 65.3%
Defensive zone
Poehling 53.4%
Neutral zone
Gourde 56.9%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Poehling
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
9
(14 meetings)
5
9
Poehling
Gourde
Last 10: Poehling 3-7 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
2
Poehling
Gourde
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Poehling
Gourde
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
2
5
Poehling
Gourde
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poehling
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (622)
51.2% (469)
+1.4%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
42.9% (21)
+15.4%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (103)
37.5% (48)
+2.3%
On power play, Poehling has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Poehling is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (505).
Poehling shoots left. Gourde is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (358).
Home / Away
Poehling
Gourde
Home
53.2% (393)
47.8% (301)
Away
48.3% (344)
51.9% (237)
By Period
Poehling
Gourde
P1
50.9%
47.3%
P2
56.2%
53.4%
P3
46.1%
48.6%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.6%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.9%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2025 | 3 | 13:51 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 1 | 14:52 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 19:24 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 14:05 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2 | 01:39 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2 | 00:15 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 1 | 16:34 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 1 | 13:48 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 1 | 01:03 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 1 | 00:55 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 19:55 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 18:58 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |