Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.1% vs 48.2%). Look for Gourde on neutral-zone draws (58% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poehling 48.1% vs Gourde 48.2% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 15-13 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Gourde 63.7%
Defensive zone
Poehling 63.1%
Neutral zone
Poehling 50.9%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Poehling
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
15
(28 meetings)
13
15
Poehling
Gourde
Last 10: Poehling 4-6 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Poehling
Gourde
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
6
6
Poehling
Gourde
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
5
7
Poehling
Gourde
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poehling
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (2,726)
48.4% (4,954)
+1.0%
Power Play
51.6% (93)
57.4% (376)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (623)
39.9% (554)
+1.7%
On power play, Gourde has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Poehling is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,301).
Poehling shoots left. Gourde is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,946).
Home / Away
Poehling
Gourde
Home
49.3% (1,688)
49.3% (2,915)
Away
46.9% (1,754)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Poehling
Gourde
P1
50.9%
49.9%
P2
47.0%
47.4%
P3
46.9%
47.5%
OT
37.9%
37.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 15:05 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 3 | 13:51 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 1 | 14:52 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 19:24 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 14:05 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2 | 01:39 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2 | 00:15 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 1 | 16:34 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 1 | 13:48 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 1 | 01:03 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 1 | 00:55 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 19:55 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 18:58 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 17:42 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 15:15 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 00:36 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 13:58 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 3 | 03:46 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |