Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 51.2% vs Strome 44.4% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 70.0%
Defensive zone
Strome 59.2%
Neutral zone
Strome 63.0%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 65.9%
34.1%
65.9%
Cirelli
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Cirelli
Strome
Last 7: Cirelli 2-5 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
3
Cirelli
Strome
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cirelli
Strome
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Cirelli
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (585)
43.0% (788)
+9.1%
Power Play
56.8% (74)
47.9% (96)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (172)
50.0% (34)
-3.5%
On even strength, Cirelli has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Cirelli is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (327).
Cirelli shoots left. Strome is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (685).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Strome
Home
52.4% (462)
42.6% (486)
Away
50.1% (369)
45.1% (432)
By Period
Cirelli
Strome
P1
50.7%
41.0%
P2
49.6%
47.8%
P3
53.3%
42.1%
OT
61.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
51.4%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 13:25 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 18:51 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 09:57 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 06:01 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 08:57 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 08:51 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 08:48 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |