Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 49.9% vs Strome 42.3% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 72.8%
Defensive zone
McBain 79.7%
Neutral zone
McBain 71.9%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 72.3%
72.3%
27.7%
McBain
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
McBain
Strome
Last 6: McBain 4-2 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
3
0
McBain
Strome
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
1
2
McBain
Strome
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (424)
41.2% (1,040)
+10.0%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
43.0% (151)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (22)
51.4% (35)
-24.1%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +24.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. McBain is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (143).
McBain shoots left. Strome is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (900).
Home / Away
McBain
Strome
Home
53.6% (235)
40.1% (581)
Away
46.0% (224)
43.1% (645)
By Period
McBain
Strome
P1
48.6%
41.4%
P2
50.9%
42.9%
P3
50.0%
40.5%
Final 5 min
55.1%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
49.9%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
41.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2025 | 2 | 15:53 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 2 | 13:21 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 2 | 13:07 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 3 | 13:37 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 1 | 08:14 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 1 | 00:46 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |