Scouting Report
Ryan Strome holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 42.8% vs Strome 47.9% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 71.9%
Defensive zone
Barzal 70.6%
Neutral zone
Barzal 69.2%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 70.0%
70.0%
30.0%
Barzal
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Barzal
Strome
Last 5: Barzal 1-4 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Barzal
Strome
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
1
0
Barzal
Strome
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
0
3
Barzal
Strome
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
41.9% (516)
47.4% (635)
-5.5%
Power Play
40.0% (60)
57.4% (61)
-17.4%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
40.8% (71)
-15.8%
On power play, Strome has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Barzal is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Barzal shoots right. Strome is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Home / Away
Barzal
Strome
Home
46.9% (303)
50.7% (341)
Away
35.7% (277)
45.1% (426)
By Period
Barzal
Strome
P1
39.9%
47.5%
P2
45.1%
48.4%
P3
39.9%
46.6%
OT
33.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
38.5%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
41.6%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 14:55 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 1 | 04:33 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 3 | 08:22 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 08:47 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 05:22 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |