Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Strome wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 45.0% vs Karlsson 48.2% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 75.3%
Defensive zone
Strome 71.5%
Neutral zone
Strome 73.3%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 73.4%
73.4%
26.6%
Strome
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Strome
Karlsson
Last 6: Strome 1-5 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
2
Strome
Karlsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
3
Strome
Karlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (568)
48.9% (662)
-4.5%
Power Play
52.5% (61)
46.7% (107)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
41.2% (68)
-10.2%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Strome is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (480).
Strome shoots right. Karlsson is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Home / Away
Strome
Karlsson
Home
42.8% (367)
46.1% (401)
Away
46.1% (304)
49.8% (436)
By Period
Strome
Karlsson
P1
41.1%
46.6%
P2
44.9%
49.5%
P3
46.6%
48.4%
OT
33.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
46.4%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.3%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2018 | 2 | 15:17 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 2 | 03:46 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 1 | 06:32 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 14, 2017 | 3 | 14:04 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 14, 2017 | 2 | 08:01 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 14, 2017 | 1 | 08:23 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |