Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Strome wins 43.6% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 44.4% vs Karlsson 54.9% (-11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 64.2%
Defensive zone
Strome 59.9%
Neutral zone
Strome 66.3%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 62.1%
62.1%
37.9%
Strome
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Strome
Karlsson
Last 6: Strome 2-4 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
2
Strome
Karlsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
2
Strome
Karlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (788)
55.3% (897)
-12.3%
Power Play
47.9% (96)
61.1% (113)
-13.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (34)
50.8% (132)
-0.8%
On power play, Karlsson has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Strome is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (685).
Strome shoots right. Karlsson is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Strome
Karlsson
Home
42.6% (486)
58.6% (560)
Away
45.1% (432)
52.2% (582)
By Period
Strome
Karlsson
P1
41.0%
55.8%
P2
47.8%
55.6%
P3
42.1%
55.7%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
42.7%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.8%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2023 | 1 | 09:51 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 3 | 00:29 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 3 | 00:24 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 3 | 06:54 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 2 | 10:38 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 2 | 07:52 | Defensive | William Karlsson |