Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Strome wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 46.8% vs Karlsson 55.6% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 73.1%
Defensive zone
Strome 72.8%
Neutral zone
Strome 71.4%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 72.1%
72.1%
27.9%
Strome
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Strome
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Strome
Karlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Strome
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (371)
56.3% (739)
-9.9%
Power Play
43.3% (97)
58.6% (181)
-15.3%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (18)
47.2% (53)
+8.4%
On power play, Karlsson has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Strome is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (339).
Strome shoots right. Karlsson is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (346).
Home / Away
Strome
Karlsson
Home
47.6% (225)
56.5% (462)
Away
44.8% (261)
56.0% (511)
By Period
Strome
Karlsson
P1
45.4%
57.1%
P2
47.6%
55.2%
P3
45.2%
56.7%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.9%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
46.1%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2024 | 2 | 05:48 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 2 | 03:14 | Defensive | William Karlsson |