Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +16.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Strome wins 41.1% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 42.3% vs Karlsson 57.1% (-16.4%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 74.5%
Defensive zone
Strome 79.3%
Neutral zone
Strome 76.6%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 77.3%
77.3%
22.7%
Strome
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Strome
Karlsson
Last 10: Strome 2-8 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Strome
Karlsson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
5
Strome
Karlsson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Strome
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
41.2% (1,040)
58.6% (597)
-17.4%
Power Play
43.0% (151)
57.9% (57)
-14.9%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (35)
51.9% (52)
-0.5%
On even strength, Karlsson has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Strome is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (900).
Strome shoots right. Karlsson is 59.0% vs right-shot opponents (239).
Home / Away
Strome
Karlsson
Home
40.1% (581)
59.6% (344)
Away
43.1% (645)
56.6% (362)
By Period
Strome
Karlsson
P1
41.4%
53.1%
P2
42.9%
62.1%
P3
40.5%
60.1%
OT
45.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
40.1%
61.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
41.7%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 18:55 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 15:17 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 12:21 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 07:30 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 17:32 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 2 | 15:59 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 2 | 05:11 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 1 | 19:51 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 3 | 14:14 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 2 | 11:35 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 1 | 06:21 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 1 | 02:37 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |