Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Strome wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 45.0% vs Karlsson 51.5% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 60.8%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 55.5%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 50.7%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Strome
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Strome
Karlsson
Last 6: Strome 3-3 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Strome
Karlsson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Strome
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (749)
51.4% (735)
-7.3%
Power Play
46.2% (52)
63.5% (115)
-17.3%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
42.9% (133)
+10.0%
On power play, Karlsson has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Strome is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Strome shoots right. Karlsson is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Home / Away
Strome
Karlsson
Home
45.1% (441)
52.3% (524)
Away
43.5% (377)
51.0% (459)
By Period
Strome
Karlsson
P1
42.9%
50.7%
P2
44.4%
51.4%
P3
45.8%
53.2%
OT
50.0%
41.2%
Final 5 min
42.4%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.4%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2022 | 2 | 08:14 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 2 | 00:52 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 11:08 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 3 | 00:21 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 2 | 09:42 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 1 | 07:54 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |