Scouting Report
Sam Bennett holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McDavid wins 41.9% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 42.5% vs Bennett 47.0% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 60.0%
Defensive zone
Bennett 59.0%
Neutral zone
Bennett 64.0%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
McDavid
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
McDavid
Bennett
Last 7: McDavid 4-3 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
0
McDavid
Bennett
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
1
McDavid
Bennett
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
2
McDavid
Bennett
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (578)
46.0% (326)
-5.3%
Power Play
56.3% (16)
50.0% (18)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
33.3% (3)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, McDavid has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. McDavid is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (363).
McDavid shoots left. Bennett is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (221).
Home / Away
McDavid
Bennett
Home
42.7% (323)
50.4% (129)
Away
39.5% (281)
43.6% (218)
By Period
McDavid
Bennett
P1
42.3%
52.9%
P2
37.3%
38.9%
P3
43.4%
46.0%
Final 5 min
36.8%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
41.2%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2015 | 3 | 06:53 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 3 | 06:40 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 2 | 14:17 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 2 | 11:29 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 1 | 13:15 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 1 | 02:57 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 1 | 00:27 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |