Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McBain wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 50.9% vs Bennett 48.3% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 59.7%
Defensive zone
McBain 73.3%
Neutral zone
McBain 60.8%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
McBain
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
McBain
Bennett
Last 5: McBain 4-1 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McBain
Bennett
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
3
0
McBain
Bennett
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (545)
46.4% (780)
+5.7%
Power Play
57.1% (14)
57.3% (150)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (46)
47.8% (46)
-10.8%
On penalty kill, Bennett has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. McBain is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (349).
McBain shoots left. Bennett is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Home / Away
McBain
Bennett
Home
52.2% (289)
50.3% (519)
Away
50.0% (316)
45.7% (457)
By Period
McBain
Bennett
P1
52.6%
47.5%
P2
53.6%
46.6%
P3
47.1%
49.8%
OT
50.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.1%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 07:59 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 12:30 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 00:56 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 3 | 07:58 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 1 | 11:23 | Neutral | Jack McBain |